Satellite: Complexity and Global Security: Sustainability in an Increasingly Connected and Urbanizing World

Wednesday, September 30, 2015
8:30 am – 12:00 pm
Hilton DoubleTree:  Galleria B

Satellite Organizers:

Shade Shutters, Arizona State University, USA
John Murphy, Argonne National Laboratory, USA
Melissa Allen, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Bruce Edmonds, Machester Metropolitan University, UK
David White, Arizona State University, USA
David Hales, Szeged University, Hungary
Jill Brandenberger, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, USA
Leon Clarke, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, USA
Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Argonne National Laboratory, USA
Nadya Bliss, Arizona State University, Arizona, USA
Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory, USA
Byung Park, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Ross Maciejewski, Arizona State University, Arizona, USA
Sheila Ronis, Walsh College, USA
Suhas Ranganath, Arizona State University, USA
Steven Corman, Arizona State University, USA
Wei Luo, Arizona State University, USA
Devin White, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA

Abstract:
It has been nearly 20 years since the U.S. National Defense University and the RAND Corporation organized a ground breaking conference titled Complexity, Global Politics and National Security. The years since have seen tremendous advances in network analysis, graph theory, computational social science, and other theoretical aspects of complex systems. At the same time, exponential growth in computational power has led to novel methods of modelling, simulation, and analysis of complex systems. We seek to build upon the vision presented 20 years ago and to highlight how these numerous advances in complex systems theory and methods have enhanced our understanding of global security issues and our ability to address those issues. These issues share much with novel scientific fields, such as sustainability, and include emerging security issues such as urbanization and the rise of megacities. It is for this purpose that we propose a full-day satellite session entitled, “Complexity and global security: sustainability in an increasingly connected and urbanizing world.”

This satellite session is dedicated to scientists, scholars, and practitioners addressing global security as a complex network of causality and nonlinear feedback. Its participants will explore both distal and proximate drivers of social and political instability including (but not limited to) such phenomena as:
• climate change impacts
• food, water, and energy security
• geopolitical conflict
• trade networks
• altered human migration
• complex systems modelling and visualization
• anticipatory governance

http://www.public.asu.edu/~sshutte/globalsecurity2015/

Speakers

Visual Reasoning and Communication: Visual Analytics for Climate Change and its Cascading Impacts
Wei Luo, Arizona State University, USA
Ross Maciejewski, Arizona State University, USA

Anticipating the Travel Routes of Internally-Displaced Persons and Refugees in Conflict Zones:  A Case Study from Syria
Leigh Mitchell, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Devin White, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA Jeanette Weaver, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Andrew Hardin, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA

Understanding Climate-Induced Migration Through Computational Modeling: A Critical Overview with Guidance for Future Efforts
Charlotte Till, Arizona State University, USA
Jamie Haverkamp, University of Maine, USA
Devin White, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Budhendra Bhaduri, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA

Geoengineering as a Design Problem
Ben Kravitz, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, USA

Using Non-Linear Data Mining Algorithms for Exploring Global Spatiotemporal Trends
Jesse Piburn, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Robert Stewart, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA

Mapping Our Vulnerability and Resilience to Drought Using the First Detailed Map of the U.S. Hydro-Economic Network
Benjamin Ruddell, Arizona State University, USA
Richard Rushforth, Arizona State University, USA

A Visionario to Demonstrate Approaches to Complexity in the Development of Global Security Policy
Sheila Ronis, Walsh College, USA

Enabling Complexity Research at Scale: A Present-Day Example
Terry Jones, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Jeremy Archuleta, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Devin White, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Byung H. Park, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Melissa Allen, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA

Complex Systems Modeling of Geopolitical Conflict and Energy to Support Global Security
Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory, USA
John Murphy, Argonne National Laboratory, USA
Pam Sydelko, Argonne National Laboratory, USA
Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Argonne National Laboratory, USA
David Sallach, Argonne National Laboratory, USA
Charles Macal, Argonne National Laboratory, USA

WSTAMP: Discovering, Exploring, and Mapping Patterns of Strategic Importance from Saptio Temporal Data Across Major Global Vendors
Robert Steward, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Jesse Piburn, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Alexandre Sorokine, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA
Aaron Meyers, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA